Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.044572 0.052494 0.061359 0.072006 0.084440 0.098497 0.115590
2025-07-13 0.032906 0.043315 0.056252 0.073483 0.095802 0.123708 0.161230
2025-07-20 0.025789 0.037009 0.052136 0.073952 0.104545 0.145848 0.205783
2025-07-27 0.021135 0.032583 0.049089 0.074509 0.112552 0.167237 0.251671
2025-08-03 0.017941 0.029433 0.046997 0.075624 0.120932 0.189656 0.301553
2025-08-10 0.015781 0.027369 0.046020 0.077989 0.131160 0.215727 0.360008
2025-08-17 0.013127 0.023979 0.042313 0.075246 0.132600 0.227916 0.397713
2025-08-24 0.011411 0.021866 0.040332 0.074960 0.137859 0.246663 0.448261
2025-08-31 0.009893 0.019833 0.038141 0.073890 0.141444 0.262764 0.495965
2025-09-07 0.008967 0.018750 0.037482 0.075459 0.149892 0.288276 0.563438
2025-09-14 0.007907 0.017218 0.035734 0.074656 0.153674 0.305548 0.617505
2025-09-21 0.006891 0.015611 0.033590 0.072728 0.154921 0.318027 0.663651
2025-09-28 0.005954 0.014034 0.031317 0.070284 0.154948 0.328422 0.707650
2025-10-05 0.005472 0.013392 0.030926 0.071785 0.163437 0.356933 0.792431
2025-10-12 0.004970 0.012616 0.030124 0.072256 0.169740 0.381621 0.872151
2025-10-19 0.004533 0.011924 0.029406 0.072803 0.176256 0.407482 0.957508
2025-10-26 0.004182 0.011381 0.028953 0.073893 0.184140 0.437236 1.055100
2025-11-02 0.003936 0.011068 0.029006 0.076206 0.195201 0.475427 1.176580
2025-11-09 0.003454 0.010050 0.027159 0.073524 0.193755 0.484416 1.230356
2025-11-16 0.003146 0.009453 0.026300 0.073244 0.198255 0.508035 1.322236
2025-11-23 0.002839 0.008806 0.025212 0.072198 0.200641 0.526750 1.404179
2025-11-30 0.002669 0.008528 0.025084 0.073732 0.210012 0.563958 1.537323
2025-12-07 0.002427 0.007996 0.024169 0.072947 0.213017 0.585244 1.631709